Spatial crude oil production divergence and crude oil price behaviour in the United States

نویسندگان

چکیده

This paper deals with the analysis of (spatial) crude oil production divergence in United States, paying particular attention to domestic between PADD 2 and 3, which are areas bottleneck occurs has a direct implication on price West Texas Intermediate (WTI). To this purpose, we use techniques based fractional integration, cointegration VAR (FCVAR) wavelet analysis. Monthly data related U.S. by regions (Anadarko, Appalachia, Bakken, Eagle Ford, Haynesville, Niobrara Permian) from January 2007 June 2020 used. The results, using integration techniques, indicate that time series analyzed highly persistent there is evidence long run equilibrium relationships some series. Finally, analysis, conclude most affected Anadarko, Haynesville where an increase shale followed decrease WTI prices.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Crude Oil Price Determinants

Based on monthly observations, I specify an econometric model capturing the driving forces behind the crude oil price series in recent years. A large set of covariates, such as supply and demand variables as well as futures market variables, is used to test the impact on the crude oil price. Current price movements are a result of scarce refining capacity and speculators betting on higher price...

متن کامل

Forecasting Crude Oil Price Volatility

We use high-frequency intra-day realized volatility to evaluate the relative forecasting performance of several models for the volatility of crude oil daily spot returns. Our objective is to evaluate the predictive ability of time-invariant and Markov switching GARCH models over different horizons. Using Carasco, Hu and Ploberger (2014) test for regime switching in the mean and variance of the ...

متن کامل

Crude Oil Price Fluctuations and Saudi

This study seeks to explain why crude oil prices fluctuate, the main cause being the quota regime, which characterises the OPEC agreements. Given that the Saudi oil supply is inelastic in the short term, a shock in the oil market is accommodated by an immediate price change. In contrast, a dominant firm behaviour in the long term causes an output change, which is accompanied by a smaller price ...

متن کامل

Crude Oil Spot Price Forecasting Based on Multiple Crude Oil Markets and Timeframes

This study proposes a multiple kernel learning (MKL)-based regression model for crude oil spot price forecasting and trading. We used a well-known trend-following technical analysis indicator, the moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) indicator, for extracting features from original spot prices. Additionally, we factored in the possibility that movements of target crude oil prices ma...

متن کامل

Crude Oil Price Forecasting with Anfis

Crude oil pricing is commonly expressed as a formula referenced to Brent or WTI crude oil. The final price of these two qualities and the spread between WTI and Brent can drive the decision when the purchase of a crude oil cargo is evaluated. A crude oil price-forecasting model is presented. It is based on past data, inventory level and volatility index and it is derived with a neuro fuzzy infe...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Energy

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1873-6785', '0360-5442']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121034